Update all markdown cells with actual notebook outputs

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- Cell 0: Fix analysis period (130 panel obs / 104 regression obs)
- Cell 13: Fix to 10-year panel (2016-2025), 8-year regression sample
- Cell 14: Add H1 finding preview noting bootstrap caveat
- Cell 17: Update H2 to reflect actual negative interaction direction
- Cell 19: Add H3 finding (slopes -0.34 to +1.36 pp/$1M)
- Cell 21: Add H4 findings (+7.6 pp offshore, +6.0 pp border, Moran's I=-0.051)
- Cell 24: Replace robustness placeholder with actual results (Tables 7-8):
    bootstrap p~0.49-0.51 for all H1 outcomes (asymptotic inference unreliable);
    distributed lag: contemporaneous effects persist, lag not significant
- Cell 25: Update robustness header with actual findings summary
- Cell 28: Update hypotheses table with bootstrap p-values and expanded footnotes

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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David Adams

2026-02-25 13:20:33 -08:00

parent fe8187b72f

commit a684819e73

1 changed files with 251 additions and 427 deletions

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