Add robustness checks: wild cluster bootstrap and distributed lag

- Insert Robustness Checks section before Hypotheses Summary
- Wild cluster bootstrap (B=999 Rademacher) addresses G=13 small-cluster problem
- Distributed lag model tests 1-year delayed budget effects (2017-2023 sample)
- Update Data & Methods to describe both robustness checks
- Update Results to reference bootstrap and distributed lag findings
- Fix duplicate robustness paragraph that was appended twice

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
2026-02-25 13:13:26 -08:00
parent 4f2e724e71
commit fe8187b72f
2 changed files with 351 additions and 311 deletions

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@@ -8,3 +8,5 @@ python-dotenv
openpyxl openpyxl
statsmodels statsmodels
scipy scipy
matplotlib
seaborn

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