- SQL year filters: BETWEEN 2016 AND 2025
- is_budget_year flag: year >= 2024 (covers both 2024 budget estimate and
2025 where no budget data exists) — both excluded from regressions
- Data & Methods and Analysis cells updated to reflect 2016-2025 data range
with 2016-2023 as the regression sample
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Three markdown cells written in PAR/Policy Studies Journal style:
- Data and Methods: sources, sample, variables, model equations
- Analysis: analytical strategy and identification rationale
- Results: full findings with formatted tables for all four hypotheses
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
statsmodels uses z/P>|z| instead of t/P>|t| with cluster-robust SEs
in some versions. Auto-detect from the actual table columns.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>