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David Adams
2025-08-14 23:14:59 -07:00
parent ba27a41ecd
commit 49823e19ec
13 changed files with 159 additions and 187 deletions
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analysis/new analysis Aug 2025/analayis11_2020_nooutliers.ipynb
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analysis/new analysis Aug 2025/bar_by_rurality_spilltype_Historical.png
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analysis/new analysis Aug 2025/pct_change_period_boot.csv
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spill_type,rurality,median_days,ci_lower_days,ci_upper_days,median_hours
Historical,Rural,0.2808043211269003,0.1565863348121387,0.4013503521568019,6.739303707045607
Historical,Suburban,0.3627858627858625,0.1431912681912688,0.5833399968015346,8.7068607068607
Historical,Urban,0.4597938125233273,0.4052792125939049,0.5130907097083722,11.035051500559856
Recent,Rural,0.22038057721440518,0.16397606115154917,0.2785119703624395,5.289133853145724
Recent,Suburban,0.23820690033459674,0.08717568975920116,0.38067920026328883,5.716965608030321
Recent,Urban,0.2965367370926982,0.22444073212108342,0.36948470850589055,7.116881690224757
Historical,Rural,0.2764117602827311,0.15162950848434606,0.4062470235857321,6.6338822467855465
Historical,Suburban,0.36538461538461653,0.14574604189988757,0.5849992003838161,8.769230769230797
Historical,Urban,0.4586609329592761,0.4092283066452901,0.5158414737344518,11.007862391022627
Recent,Rural,0.2208484333698994,0.16234478809493721,0.280090515780138,5.300362400877585
Recent,Suburban,0.23802863254895285,0.09616929954473215,0.381120070210082,5.712687181174868
Recent,Urban,0.2985415486404179,0.22800245049959508,0.3745836583142008,7.164997167370029
1 spill_type rurality median_days ci_lower_days ci_upper_days median_hours
2 Historical Rural 0.2808043211269003 0.2764117602827311 0.1565863348121387 0.15162950848434606 0.4013503521568019 0.4062470235857321 6.739303707045607 6.6338822467855465
3 Historical Suburban 0.3627858627858625 0.36538461538461653 0.1431912681912688 0.14574604189988757 0.5833399968015346 0.5849992003838161 8.7068607068607 8.769230769230797
4 Historical Urban 0.4597938125233273 0.4586609329592761 0.4052792125939049 0.4092283066452901 0.5130907097083722 0.5158414737344518 11.035051500559856 11.007862391022627
5 Recent Rural 0.22038057721440518 0.2208484333698994 0.16397606115154917 0.16234478809493721 0.2785119703624395 0.280090515780138 5.289133853145724 5.300362400877585
6 Recent Suburban 0.23820690033459674 0.23802863254895285 0.08717568975920116 0.09616929954473215 0.38067920026328883 0.381120070210082 5.716965608030321 5.712687181174868
7 Recent Urban 0.2965367370926982 0.2985415486404179 0.22444073212108342 0.22800245049959508 0.36948470850589055 0.3745836583142008 7.116881690224757 7.164997167370029

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analysis/new analysis Aug 2025/pct_change_spilltype_boot.csv
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Period,rurality,median_abs_days,ci_lower_days,ci_upper_days,median_hours,median_pct
2020 and After,Rural,0.07277093450830235,0.0005333461979639555,0.14429404439012705,1.7465024281992565,12.006878771967976
2020 and After,Suburban,0.14384214221241487,0.019372847925650964,0.2640026911376328,3.452211413097957,34.42610764198605
2020 and After,Urban,0.2921678186765097,0.24424616796337076,0.3427039893841879,7.0120276482362325,85.00074491207484
Before 2020,Rural,0.012507567714593826,-0.10072990058874733,0.12426538329926184,0.3001816251502518,1.4052118185265285
Before 2020,Suburban,0.019286276567830107,-0.2070683547625284,0.2474055366045697,0.4628706376279226,2.5419240953219604
Before 2020,Urban,0.1305571823770012,0.05296129117246844,0.20843850138795772,3.133372377048029,16.184500070185926
2020 and After,Rural,0.0741556691931361,0.004211424865189661,0.14743252321887296,1.7797360606352663,12.14421494676097
2020 and After,Suburban,0.14399257847758565,0.01829931802226303,0.26364122622271274,3.4558218834620558,34.39021282018639
2020 and After,Urban,0.2907137007004865,0.2412791155568189,0.3423369570028581,6.9771288168116765,84.50834690052037
Before 2020,Rural,0.019487413464827796,-0.10395835344078816,0.1311231585227802,0.4676979231558671,2.170352426399535
Before 2020,Suburban,0.018630280766201046,-0.2184466019417477,0.24982944109157806,0.4471267383888251,2.3447517860415865
Before 2020,Urban,0.130829377379724,0.052385515416715656,0.20981495104457498,3.139905057113376,16.265299903092888
1 Period rurality median_abs_days ci_lower_days ci_upper_days median_hours median_pct
2 2020 and After Rural 0.07277093450830235 0.0741556691931361 0.0005333461979639555 0.004211424865189661 0.14429404439012705 0.14743252321887296 1.7465024281992565 1.7797360606352663 12.006878771967976 12.14421494676097
3 2020 and After Suburban 0.14384214221241487 0.14399257847758565 0.019372847925650964 0.01829931802226303 0.2640026911376328 0.26364122622271274 3.452211413097957 3.4558218834620558 34.42610764198605 34.39021282018639
4 2020 and After Urban 0.2921678186765097 0.2907137007004865 0.24424616796337076 0.2412791155568189 0.3427039893841879 0.3423369570028581 7.0120276482362325 6.9771288168116765 85.00074491207484 84.50834690052037
5 Before 2020 Rural 0.012507567714593826 0.019487413464827796 -0.10072990058874733 -0.10395835344078816 0.12426538329926184 0.1311231585227802 0.3001816251502518 0.4676979231558671 1.4052118185265285 2.170352426399535
6 Before 2020 Suburban 0.019286276567830107 0.018630280766201046 -0.2070683547625284 -0.2184466019417477 0.2474055366045697 0.24982944109157806 0.4628706376279226 0.4471267383888251 2.5419240953219604 2.3447517860415865
7 Before 2020 Urban 0.1305571823770012 0.130829377379724 0.05296129117246844 0.052385515416715656 0.20843850138795772 0.20981495104457498 3.133372377048029 3.139905057113376 16.184500070185926 16.265299903092888

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analysis/new analysis Aug 2025/poisson_boot_contrasts.csv
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contrast_type,spill_type,Period,rurality,comparison,median,ci_lower,ci_upper,p_value
Period,Historical,,Rural,Before - After,0.2808043211269003,0.1565863348121387,0.4013503521568019,0.0
Period,Historical,,Suburban,Before - After,0.3627858627858625,0.1431912681912688,0.5833399968015346,0.002
Period,Historical,,Urban,Before - After,0.4597938125233273,0.4052792125939049,0.5130907097083722,0.0
Period,Recent,,Rural,Before - After,0.22038057721440518,0.16397606115154917,0.2785119703624395,0.0
Period,Recent,,Suburban,Before - After,0.23820690033459674,0.08717568975920116,0.38067920026328883,0.0
Period,Recent,,Urban,Before - After,0.2965367370926982,0.22444073212108342,0.36948470850589055,0.0
SpillType,,2020 and After,Rural,Recent - Historical,0.07277093450830235,0.0005333461979639555,0.14429404439012705,0.049
SpillType,,2020 and After,Suburban,Recent - Historical,0.14384214221241487,0.019372847925650964,0.2640026911376328,0.022
SpillType,,2020 and After,Urban,Recent - Historical,0.2921678186765097,0.24424616796337076,0.3427039893841879,0.0
SpillType,,Before 2020,Rural,Recent - Historical,0.012507567714593826,-0.10072990058874733,0.12426538329926184,0.828
SpillType,,Before 2020,Suburban,Recent - Historical,0.019286276567830107,-0.2070683547625284,0.2474055366045697,0.862
SpillType,,Before 2020,Urban,Recent - Historical,0.1305571823770012,0.05296129117246844,0.20843850138795772,0.0
Period,Historical,,Rural,Before - After,0.2764117602827311,0.15162950848434606,0.4062470235857321,0.0
Period,Historical,,Suburban,Before - After,0.36538461538461653,0.14574604189988757,0.5849992003838161,0.001
Period,Historical,,Urban,Before - After,0.4586609329592761,0.4092283066452901,0.5158414737344518,0.0
Period,Recent,,Rural,Before - After,0.2208484333698994,0.16234478809493721,0.280090515780138,0.0
Period,Recent,,Suburban,Before - After,0.23802863254895285,0.09616929954473215,0.381120070210082,0.0
Period,Recent,,Urban,Before - After,0.2985415486404179,0.22800245049959508,0.3745836583142008,0.0
SpillType,,2020 and After,Rural,Recent - Historical,0.0741556691931361,0.004211424865189661,0.14743252321887296,0.038
SpillType,,2020 and After,Suburban,Recent - Historical,0.14399257847758565,0.01829931802226303,0.26364122622271274,0.021
SpillType,,2020 and After,Urban,Recent - Historical,0.2907137007004865,0.2412791155568189,0.3423369570028581,0.0
SpillType,,Before 2020,Rural,Recent - Historical,0.019487413464827796,-0.10395835344078816,0.1311231585227802,0.763
SpillType,,Before 2020,Suburban,Recent - Historical,0.018630280766201046,-0.2184466019417477,0.24982944109157806,0.879
SpillType,,Before 2020,Urban,Recent - Historical,0.130829377379724,0.052385515416715656,0.20981495104457498,0.0
1 contrast_type spill_type Period rurality comparison median ci_lower ci_upper p_value
2 Period Historical Rural Before - After 0.2808043211269003 0.2764117602827311 0.1565863348121387 0.15162950848434606 0.4013503521568019 0.4062470235857321 0.0
3 Period Historical Suburban Before - After 0.3627858627858625 0.36538461538461653 0.1431912681912688 0.14574604189988757 0.5833399968015346 0.5849992003838161 0.002 0.001
4 Period Historical Urban Before - After 0.4597938125233273 0.4586609329592761 0.4052792125939049 0.4092283066452901 0.5130907097083722 0.5158414737344518 0.0
5 Period Recent Rural Before - After 0.22038057721440518 0.2208484333698994 0.16397606115154917 0.16234478809493721 0.2785119703624395 0.280090515780138 0.0
6 Period Recent Suburban Before - After 0.23820690033459674 0.23802863254895285 0.08717568975920116 0.09616929954473215 0.38067920026328883 0.381120070210082 0.0
7 Period Recent Urban Before - After 0.2965367370926982 0.2985415486404179 0.22444073212108342 0.22800245049959508 0.36948470850589055 0.3745836583142008 0.0
8 SpillType 2020 and After Rural Recent - Historical 0.07277093450830235 0.0741556691931361 0.0005333461979639555 0.004211424865189661 0.14429404439012705 0.14743252321887296 0.049 0.038
9 SpillType 2020 and After Suburban Recent - Historical 0.14384214221241487 0.14399257847758565 0.019372847925650964 0.01829931802226303 0.2640026911376328 0.26364122622271274 0.022 0.021
10 SpillType 2020 and After Urban Recent - Historical 0.2921678186765097 0.2907137007004865 0.24424616796337076 0.2412791155568189 0.3427039893841879 0.3423369570028581 0.0
11 SpillType Before 2020 Rural Recent - Historical 0.012507567714593826 0.019487413464827796 -0.10072990058874733 -0.10395835344078816 0.12426538329926184 0.1311231585227802 0.828 0.763
12 SpillType Before 2020 Suburban Recent - Historical 0.019286276567830107 0.018630280766201046 -0.2070683547625284 -0.2184466019417477 0.2474055366045697 0.24982944109157806 0.862 0.879
13 SpillType Before 2020 Urban Recent - Historical 0.1305571823770012 0.130829377379724 0.05296129117246844 0.052385515416715656 0.20843850138795772 0.20981495104457498 0.0

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analysis/new analysis Aug 2025/poisson_predicted_groups_boot_all.csv
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spill_type,Period,rurality,pred_mean,ci_lower,ci_upper,n,pred_median_boot,ci_lower_boot,ci_upper_boot,pred_median_npboot,ci_lower_npboot,ci_upper_npboot
Historical,2020 and After,Rural,0.6093189964157697,0.5478743705834819,0.6776546948120998,558,0.6093189964157705,0.5465949820788535,0.6756272401433703,0.6094014436060688,0.5553568915840253,0.6660817830219199
Historical,2020 and After,Suburban,0.42011834319526453,0.3329283283724966,0.5301423977705431,169,0.42011834319526564,0.31952662721893543,0.5147928994082835,0.41966675300008693,0.32728026090675794,0.5029603729603737
Historical,2020 and After,Urban,0.3444994290064705,0.3227699462514921,0.36769178160507127,2627,0.3441187666539781,0.322421012561858,0.3669585078035776,0.34389292954822703,0.32457410165704725,0.36611843130789484
Historical,Before 2020,Rural,0.8881118881118876,0.7853397269730921,1.0043331550865073,286,0.8916083916083908,0.7797202797202806,0.9965034965035021,0.8881467439785897,0.8155973813420629,0.9586206896551719
Historical,Before 2020,Suburban,0.7837837837837845,0.6059349205795946,1.0138333323565736,74,0.7837837837837802,0.5945945945945935,0.9729729729729722,0.7852622061482826,0.6060499359795134,0.9861250000000014
Historical,Before 2020,Urban,0.8045417680454156,0.7560010921988318,0.8561991023677035,1233,0.8045417680454142,0.7534468775344686,0.8548256285482565,0.8062527856464532,0.7653433509712296,0.8452311877749464
Recent,2020 and After,Rural,0.6839481555333987,0.6486978802574822,0.7211139325318346,2006,0.6834496510468582,0.6490528414755717,0.720837487537388,0.6833498513379572,0.6526266885193902,0.7126087547820987
Recent,2020 and After,Suburban,0.5621468926553657,0.489224984417794,0.6459382472016476,354,0.5621468926553675,0.4887005649717516,0.6412429378531083,0.560903235145111,0.48759475180291617,0.6308330783353746
Recent,2020 and After,Urban,0.636728147554129,0.5939439753667028,0.6825942356556498,1247,0.6363271852445858,0.595008019246191,0.6808540497193286,0.63514634037022,0.5986054397596826,0.6704002245388925
Recent,Before 2020,Rural,0.9033877038895861,0.8579117829215046,0.9512741983327778,1594,0.9033877038895857,0.8588299874529501,0.9516938519447926,0.9045418825976796,0.8668315366730072,0.9374318792984466
Recent,Before 2020,Suburban,0.800970873786409,0.687621671804964,0.9330048294873011,206,0.8009708737864065,0.6747572815534,0.9223300970873771,0.7990649100959109,0.7055691624365492,0.8953067492613123
Recent,Before 2020,Urban,0.9354207436399179,0.8779639126262511,0.9966377376655905,1022,0.935420743639919,0.8727984344422688,0.9921722113502919,0.9356552731905163,0.8897872013126856,0.9814337133020891
Historical,2020 and After,Rural,0.6093189964157697,0.5478743705834819,0.6776546948120998,558,0.6093189964157705,0.5448028673835126,0.6720430107526851,0.6096073547725431,0.5586004543160028,0.6646965087643066
Historical,2020 and After,Suburban,0.42011834319526453,0.3329283283724966,0.5301423977705431,169,0.42011834319526487,0.3254437869822484,0.5147928994082847,0.41875000000000007,0.32926639903045,0.5200136986301357
Historical,2020 and After,Urban,0.3444994290064705,0.3227699462514921,0.36769178160507127,2627,0.3444994290064708,0.3224210125618575,0.36810049486105806,0.3440305320467083,0.3252725558294595,0.3644760086525086
Historical,Before 2020,Rural,0.8881118881118876,0.7853397269730921,1.0043331550865073,286,0.8846153846153855,0.7797202797202769,0.9965909090909086,0.8872657733629041,0.8161251120071694,0.963976959044562
Historical,Before 2020,Suburban,0.7837837837837845,0.6059349205795946,1.0138333323565736,74,0.7837837837837832,0.5810810810810829,0.9868243243243267,0.7826086956521745,0.5796910755148731,0.9726119955572049
Historical,Before 2020,Urban,0.8045417680454156,0.7560010921988318,0.8561991023677035,1233,0.8037307380373095,0.7558799675587965,0.8548459042984564,0.8044515806561483,0.7656491145489733,0.8422833419823558
Recent,2020 and After,Rural,0.6839481555333987,0.6486978802574822,0.7211139325318346,2006,0.6829511465603179,0.647557328015953,0.718344965104685,0.6859175525360229,0.6563384862052262,0.7148843825984128
Recent,2020 and After,Suburban,0.5621468926553657,0.489224984417794,0.6459382472016476,354,0.5621468926553679,0.48870056497175085,0.6384887005649743,0.561529443882385,0.4901362984218071,0.631288507581804
Recent,2020 and After,Urban,0.636728147554129,0.5939439753667028,0.6825942356556498,1247,0.6351242983159581,0.5926222935044123,0.6808340016038464,0.6366835287354293,0.5991867409414826,0.6748372168058338
Recent,Before 2020,Rural,0.9033877038895861,0.8579117829215046,0.9512741983327778,1594,0.9037013801756578,0.8575909661229606,0.952321204516935,0.9030185434005366,0.8728050324527968,0.9383551968041549
Recent,Before 2020,Suburban,0.800970873786409,0.687621671804964,0.9330048294873011,206,0.8009708737864077,0.674757281553401,0.9223300970873809,0.8022616917965761,0.7058602941176474,0.8904968944099336
Recent,Before 2020,Urban,0.9354207436399179,0.8779639126262511,0.9966377376655905,1022,0.934442270058707,0.8767123287671218,0.9961105675146799,0.9346761236158347,0.8895441574912045,0.9809577616357241
1 spill_type Period rurality pred_mean ci_lower ci_upper n pred_median_boot ci_lower_boot ci_upper_boot pred_median_npboot ci_lower_npboot ci_upper_npboot
2 Historical 2020 and After Rural 0.6093189964157697 0.5478743705834819 0.6776546948120998 558 0.6093189964157705 0.5465949820788535 0.5448028673835126 0.6756272401433703 0.6720430107526851 0.6094014436060688 0.6096073547725431 0.5553568915840253 0.5586004543160028 0.6660817830219199 0.6646965087643066
3 Historical 2020 and After Suburban 0.42011834319526453 0.3329283283724966 0.5301423977705431 169 0.42011834319526564 0.42011834319526487 0.31952662721893543 0.3254437869822484 0.5147928994082835 0.5147928994082847 0.41966675300008693 0.41875000000000007 0.32728026090675794 0.32926639903045 0.5029603729603737 0.5200136986301357
4 Historical 2020 and After Urban 0.3444994290064705 0.3227699462514921 0.36769178160507127 2627 0.3441187666539781 0.3444994290064708 0.322421012561858 0.3224210125618575 0.3669585078035776 0.36810049486105806 0.34389292954822703 0.3440305320467083 0.32457410165704725 0.3252725558294595 0.36611843130789484 0.3644760086525086
5 Historical Before 2020 Rural 0.8881118881118876 0.7853397269730921 1.0043331550865073 286 0.8916083916083908 0.8846153846153855 0.7797202797202806 0.7797202797202769 0.9965034965035021 0.9965909090909086 0.8881467439785897 0.8872657733629041 0.8155973813420629 0.8161251120071694 0.9586206896551719 0.963976959044562
6 Historical Before 2020 Suburban 0.7837837837837845 0.6059349205795946 1.0138333323565736 74 0.7837837837837802 0.7837837837837832 0.5945945945945935 0.5810810810810829 0.9729729729729722 0.9868243243243267 0.7852622061482826 0.7826086956521745 0.6060499359795134 0.5796910755148731 0.9861250000000014 0.9726119955572049
7 Historical Before 2020 Urban 0.8045417680454156 0.7560010921988318 0.8561991023677035 1233 0.8045417680454142 0.8037307380373095 0.7534468775344686 0.7558799675587965 0.8548256285482565 0.8548459042984564 0.8062527856464532 0.8044515806561483 0.7653433509712296 0.7656491145489733 0.8452311877749464 0.8422833419823558
8 Recent 2020 and After Rural 0.6839481555333987 0.6486978802574822 0.7211139325318346 2006 0.6834496510468582 0.6829511465603179 0.6490528414755717 0.647557328015953 0.720837487537388 0.718344965104685 0.6833498513379572 0.6859175525360229 0.6526266885193902 0.6563384862052262 0.7126087547820987 0.7148843825984128
9 Recent 2020 and After Suburban 0.5621468926553657 0.489224984417794 0.6459382472016476 354 0.5621468926553675 0.5621468926553679 0.4887005649717516 0.48870056497175085 0.6412429378531083 0.6384887005649743 0.560903235145111 0.561529443882385 0.48759475180291617 0.4901362984218071 0.6308330783353746 0.631288507581804
10 Recent 2020 and After Urban 0.636728147554129 0.5939439753667028 0.6825942356556498 1247 0.6363271852445858 0.6351242983159581 0.595008019246191 0.5926222935044123 0.6808540497193286 0.6808340016038464 0.63514634037022 0.6366835287354293 0.5986054397596826 0.5991867409414826 0.6704002245388925 0.6748372168058338
11 Recent Before 2020 Rural 0.9033877038895861 0.8579117829215046 0.9512741983327778 1594 0.9033877038895857 0.9037013801756578 0.8588299874529501 0.8575909661229606 0.9516938519447926 0.952321204516935 0.9045418825976796 0.9030185434005366 0.8668315366730072 0.8728050324527968 0.9374318792984466 0.9383551968041549
12 Recent Before 2020 Suburban 0.800970873786409 0.687621671804964 0.9330048294873011 206 0.8009708737864065 0.8009708737864077 0.6747572815534 0.674757281553401 0.9223300970873771 0.9223300970873809 0.7990649100959109 0.8022616917965761 0.7055691624365492 0.7058602941176474 0.8953067492613123 0.8904968944099336
13 Recent Before 2020 Urban 0.9354207436399179 0.8779639126262511 0.9966377376655905 1022 0.935420743639919 0.934442270058707 0.8727984344422688 0.8767123287671218 0.9921722113502919 0.9961105675146799 0.9356552731905163 0.9346761236158347 0.8897872013126856 0.8895441574912045 0.9814337133020891 0.9809577616357241

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analysis/new analysis Aug 2025/poisson_predicted_groups_boot_final.csv
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spill_type,Period,rurality,pred_mean,ci_lower,ci_upper,n,pred_median_boot,ci_lower_boot,ci_upper_boot
Historical,2020 and After,Rural,0.6093189964157697,0.5478743705834819,0.6776546948120998,558,0.6093189964157705,0.5465949820788535,0.6756272401433703
Historical,2020 and After,Suburban,0.42011834319526453,0.3329283283724966,0.5301423977705431,169,0.42011834319526564,0.31952662721893543,0.5147928994082835
Historical,2020 and After,Urban,0.3444994290064705,0.3227699462514921,0.36769178160507127,2627,0.3441187666539781,0.322421012561858,0.3669585078035776
Historical,Before 2020,Rural,0.8881118881118876,0.7853397269730921,1.0043331550865073,286,0.8916083916083908,0.7797202797202806,0.9965034965035021
Historical,Before 2020,Suburban,0.7837837837837845,0.6059349205795946,1.0138333323565736,74,0.7837837837837802,0.5945945945945935,0.9729729729729722
Historical,Before 2020,Urban,0.8045417680454156,0.7560010921988318,0.8561991023677035,1233,0.8045417680454142,0.7534468775344686,0.8548256285482565
Recent,2020 and After,Rural,0.6839481555333987,0.6486978802574822,0.7211139325318346,2006,0.6834496510468582,0.6490528414755717,0.720837487537388
Recent,2020 and After,Suburban,0.5621468926553657,0.489224984417794,0.6459382472016476,354,0.5621468926553675,0.4887005649717516,0.6412429378531083
Recent,2020 and After,Urban,0.636728147554129,0.5939439753667028,0.6825942356556498,1247,0.6363271852445858,0.595008019246191,0.6808540497193286
Recent,Before 2020,Rural,0.9033877038895861,0.8579117829215046,0.9512741983327778,1594,0.9033877038895857,0.8588299874529501,0.9516938519447926
Recent,Before 2020,Suburban,0.800970873786409,0.687621671804964,0.9330048294873011,206,0.8009708737864065,0.6747572815534,0.9223300970873771
Recent,Before 2020,Urban,0.9354207436399179,0.8779639126262511,0.9966377376655905,1022,0.935420743639919,0.8727984344422688,0.9921722113502919
Historical,2020 and After,Rural,0.6093189964157697,0.5478743705834819,0.6776546948120998,558,0.6093189964157705,0.5448028673835126,0.6720430107526851
Historical,2020 and After,Suburban,0.42011834319526453,0.3329283283724966,0.5301423977705431,169,0.42011834319526487,0.3254437869822484,0.5147928994082847
Historical,2020 and After,Urban,0.3444994290064705,0.3227699462514921,0.36769178160507127,2627,0.3444994290064708,0.3224210125618575,0.36810049486105806
Historical,Before 2020,Rural,0.8881118881118876,0.7853397269730921,1.0043331550865073,286,0.8846153846153855,0.7797202797202769,0.9965909090909086
Historical,Before 2020,Suburban,0.7837837837837845,0.6059349205795946,1.0138333323565736,74,0.7837837837837832,0.5810810810810829,0.9868243243243267
Historical,Before 2020,Urban,0.8045417680454156,0.7560010921988318,0.8561991023677035,1233,0.8037307380373095,0.7558799675587965,0.8548459042984564
Recent,2020 and After,Rural,0.6839481555333987,0.6486978802574822,0.7211139325318346,2006,0.6829511465603179,0.647557328015953,0.718344965104685
Recent,2020 and After,Suburban,0.5621468926553657,0.489224984417794,0.6459382472016476,354,0.5621468926553679,0.48870056497175085,0.6384887005649743
Recent,2020 and After,Urban,0.636728147554129,0.5939439753667028,0.6825942356556498,1247,0.6351242983159581,0.5926222935044123,0.6808340016038464
Recent,Before 2020,Rural,0.9033877038895861,0.8579117829215046,0.9512741983327778,1594,0.9037013801756578,0.8575909661229606,0.952321204516935
Recent,Before 2020,Suburban,0.800970873786409,0.687621671804964,0.9330048294873011,206,0.8009708737864077,0.674757281553401,0.9223300970873809
Recent,Before 2020,Urban,0.9354207436399179,0.8779639126262511,0.9966377376655905,1022,0.934442270058707,0.8767123287671218,0.9961105675146799
1 spill_type Period rurality pred_mean ci_lower ci_upper n pred_median_boot ci_lower_boot ci_upper_boot
2 Historical 2020 and After Rural 0.6093189964157697 0.5478743705834819 0.6776546948120998 558 0.6093189964157705 0.5465949820788535 0.5448028673835126 0.6756272401433703 0.6720430107526851
3 Historical 2020 and After Suburban 0.42011834319526453 0.3329283283724966 0.5301423977705431 169 0.42011834319526564 0.42011834319526487 0.31952662721893543 0.3254437869822484 0.5147928994082835 0.5147928994082847
4 Historical 2020 and After Urban 0.3444994290064705 0.3227699462514921 0.36769178160507127 2627 0.3441187666539781 0.3444994290064708 0.322421012561858 0.3224210125618575 0.3669585078035776 0.36810049486105806
5 Historical Before 2020 Rural 0.8881118881118876 0.7853397269730921 1.0043331550865073 286 0.8916083916083908 0.8846153846153855 0.7797202797202806 0.7797202797202769 0.9965034965035021 0.9965909090909086
6 Historical Before 2020 Suburban 0.7837837837837845 0.6059349205795946 1.0138333323565736 74 0.7837837837837802 0.7837837837837832 0.5945945945945935 0.5810810810810829 0.9729729729729722 0.9868243243243267
7 Historical Before 2020 Urban 0.8045417680454156 0.7560010921988318 0.8561991023677035 1233 0.8045417680454142 0.8037307380373095 0.7534468775344686 0.7558799675587965 0.8548256285482565 0.8548459042984564
8 Recent 2020 and After Rural 0.6839481555333987 0.6486978802574822 0.7211139325318346 2006 0.6834496510468582 0.6829511465603179 0.6490528414755717 0.647557328015953 0.720837487537388 0.718344965104685
9 Recent 2020 and After Suburban 0.5621468926553657 0.489224984417794 0.6459382472016476 354 0.5621468926553675 0.5621468926553679 0.4887005649717516 0.48870056497175085 0.6412429378531083 0.6384887005649743
10 Recent 2020 and After Urban 0.636728147554129 0.5939439753667028 0.6825942356556498 1247 0.6363271852445858 0.6351242983159581 0.595008019246191 0.5926222935044123 0.6808540497193286 0.6808340016038464
11 Recent Before 2020 Rural 0.9033877038895861 0.8579117829215046 0.9512741983327778 1594 0.9033877038895857 0.9037013801756578 0.8588299874529501 0.8575909661229606 0.9516938519447926 0.952321204516935
12 Recent Before 2020 Suburban 0.800970873786409 0.687621671804964 0.9330048294873011 206 0.8009708737864065 0.8009708737864077 0.6747572815534 0.674757281553401 0.9223300970873771 0.9223300970873809
13 Recent Before 2020 Urban 0.9354207436399179 0.8779639126262511 0.9966377376655905 1022 0.935420743639919 0.934442270058707 0.8727984344422688 0.8767123287671218 0.9921722113502919 0.9961105675146799

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